📊 FedEx vs UPS Earnings Prediction Dashboard

Q2 2026 (FedEx) & Q4 FY2025 (UPS) Forecast Analysis | As of December 3, 2025

Prediction Parameters

FedEx Q2 2026 Predicted Revenue
$23.8B
+3.5% YoY
UPS Q4 FY2025 Predicted Revenue
$27.2B
+2.8% YoY
FedEx Operating Income
$2.02B
+8.5% Margin
UPS Operating Income
$3.05B
+11.2% Margin
📈 Revenue Comparison
FedEx
UPS
💰 Operating Income Projection
FedEx
UPS
📊 Operating Margin Analysis
FedEx
UPS
📦 Volume Growth Forecast
FedEx
UPS
📋 Detailed Comparison Table
Metric FedEx Q2 2026 UPS Q4 FY2025 Difference
Predicted Revenue $23.8B $27.2B -12.5%
Operating Income $2.02B $3.05B -33.8%
Operating Margin 8.5% 11.2% -2.7pp
Volume Growth +2.1% +1.8% +0.3pp
💡 Key Investor Questions for Earnings Calls
These questions reflect critical areas investors typically focus on during earnings calls. Use these to understand the strategic positioning and operational challenges of each company.

FedEx Q2 2026 Earnings Call

1. How is FedEx managing cost pressures amid moderate revenue growth?
With predicted 3.5% revenue growth but 8.5% operating margins, investors want to understand cost management strategies and whether margins can expand further through operational efficiency.
2. What is driving the 2.1% volume growth, and is this sustainable?
Investors need clarity on whether volume growth is coming from market share gains, pricing power, or macro recovery. Sustainability is key for long-term guidance.
3. How are international operations performing relative to domestic?
FedEx's global footprint is a competitive advantage. Investors want to know if international segments are growing faster and contributing to margin expansion.
4. What is the capital expenditure plan, and how will automation investments impact future margins?
FedEx's investment in automation and technology is critical. Investors want to understand ROI timelines and how CapEx will drive future profitability.
5. How is FedEx positioned against UPS in the competitive landscape?
With UPS showing higher margins (11.2% vs 8.5%), investors want to understand FedEx's differentiation strategy and path to margin parity.

UPS Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

1. Can UPS maintain its 11.2% operating margin while growing revenue?
UPS's superior margins are a key competitive advantage. Investors want to know if this can be sustained or if competitive pressures will compress margins.
2. What is the outlook for Q1 2026, and are there seasonal headwinds?
Q4 is typically strong for UPS due to holiday volumes. Investors need guidance on Q1 trends and how the company expects volumes to normalize.
3. How is UPS's healthcare and specialty services segment performing?
UPS's diversification into healthcare logistics is a growth driver. Investors want to know if this segment is offsetting slower growth in traditional parcel services.
4. What is the impact of the recent labor agreement on operating costs?
UPS's labor costs have increased. Investors want to understand how the company plans to offset these through pricing, efficiency, or volume growth.
5. How is UPS leveraging its technology and AI capabilities for competitive advantage?
Technology investments are critical for logistics. Investors want to know how UPS is using AI and automation to maintain its margin leadership.

Comparative Analysis Questions

1. Market Share Dynamics: Is FedEx gaining or losing market share to UPS?
The 2.1% vs 1.8% volume growth suggests FedEx may be gaining share. Investors should ask about market dynamics and competitive positioning.
2. Pricing Power: How are both companies leveraging pricing to offset cost inflation?
With different margin profiles, investors want to understand each company's pricing strategy and customer acceptance of rate increases.
3. E-commerce Dependency: What is the exposure to e-commerce slowdown?
Both companies are exposed to e-commerce trends. Investors should understand their diversification and resilience to market shifts.
4. International Expansion: Which company is better positioned for international growth?
Global logistics is a growth opportunity. Investors want to know which company has better international infrastructure and growth prospects.